Determination of Sensitivity and Adaptive Capacity for Prefabricated Housing Estates

Abstract

The effects of climate change have an impact not only on the natural environment but also on the built environment: e.g. heavy rainfalls, sudden temperature changes, stormy winds are also damaging our buildings. A widely used method for determining the climate vulnerability of the building stock is the methodology developed by the IPCC, the main elements of which are exposure, sensitivity and adaptive capacity. Vulnerability analysis helps us find out, among other things, which types of buildings and which areas are more vulnerable to certain impacts.

This study presents sensitivity and adaptive capacity parameters suitable for vulnerability analysis of residential buildings and housing estates built with prefabricated large panel technology, with the aim of differentiating the differences between housing estates. The sample area of the study is the Hungarian capital, Budapest. As a result of the study, it can be concluded that simple geometric data may be suitable for determining sensitivity and socio-demographic data with an appropriate territorial resolution (e.g. 0,1 km2) are suitable for determining adaptive capacity, which can be used by methodological to make differences between the vulnerability of certain housing estates.